The big question with any highly expected new product is always: how long before we can see this technology on the market. People have been asking this for years about the E-Cat, and early expectations of a quick appearance of a domestic E-Cat on the market have not materialized. Andrea Rossi has previously said that if this current test goes well, that commercialization of the technology will start in March.
However, Rossi has said that commercialization does not mean products on the market immediately — first manufacturing facilities, production lines, and outsourcing systems need to be organized (he has says that plans are already in place). That sounds like a lot of work — so how long before we actually see E-Cats for sale?
Here’s a Q&A from the Journal of Nuclear Physics today on this issue:
November 23rd, 2015 at 7:44 PM
Dr Andrea Rossi
If the tests go well, when do you think the E-Cats will be available for the public?
November 24th, 2015 at 7:39 AM
The 1 MW E-Cats should be start to be produced in series within 1 year. The domestic remain under scrutiny of the safety certification, whose times do not depend on us.
We should remember also that he is talking here about the low temperature E-Cat plants that are used for heating only. Electricity production from the E-Cat is, as I understand it, still in the R&D phase.
I think we should be careful about taking this as a firm prediction. AR is obviously enthusiastic about his technology, but I think there are plenty of reasons why delays might happen. And first we need to get through the test, where success is still not guaranteed. But a 1 year projection from Rossi here does give us a ballpark idea of what his hopes and expectations might be.